Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007690 0.009012 0.010590 0.012643 0.015285 0.018635 0.023311
2025-06-29 0.005976 0.007547 0.009639 0.012728 0.017359 0.024398 0.036720
2025-07-06 0.005150 0.006840 0.009266 0.013196 0.019842 0.031635 0.057271
2025-07-13 0.004701 0.006507 0.009269 0.014125 0.023303 0.042327 0.095120
2025-07-20 0.004275 0.006107 0.009049 0.014576 0.026058 0.053487 0.151457
2025-07-27 0.003877 0.005676 0.008678 0.014625 0.028010 0.064347 0.232378
2025-08-03 0.003565 0.005331 0.008381 0.014725 0.030119 0.077648 0.373599
2025-08-10 0.003237 0.004914 0.007883 0.014282 0.030722 0.086988 0.548029
2025-08-17 0.002917 0.004474 0.007279 0.013476 0.030064 0.091404 0.725986
2025-08-24 0.002661 0.004121 0.006793 0.012835 0.029663 0.096876 1.000704
2025-08-31 0.002534 0.003985 0.006705 0.013096 0.032086 0.118789 2.139756
2025-09-07 0.002376 0.003776 0.006446 0.012889 0.032961 0.134544 4.226766
2025-09-14 0.002167 0.003470 0.005986 0.012175 0.032141 0.141563 7.715924
2025-09-21 0.002049 0.003324 0.005842 0.012259 0.034350 0.175966 53.747820
2025-09-28 0.001972 0.003248 0.005834 0.012704 0.038312 0.240732 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001931 0.003238 0.005967 0.013585 0.044945 0.377962 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001862 0.003164 0.005945 0.014012 0.049987 0.551777 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001777 0.003048 0.005811 0.014059 0.053206 0.747108 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001702 0.002947 0.005699 0.014154 0.056930 1.057790 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001607 0.002797 0.005451 0.013733 0.057179 1.266696 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001503 0.002620 0.005121 0.012969 0.054691 1.297751 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001414 0.002472 0.004848 0.012362 0.053005 1.380582 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001373 0.002422 0.004817 0.012609 0.057715 2.256955 NaN